Taming Turbulence: Forecasting Through the Structure of Volatility
This paper shows how modelling the evolving structure of volatility can improve real-time macroeconomic forecasting and communication under uncertainty.
Academic Working Papers
Growth, Volatility and Global Trade
How do global shocks and trade networks shape country-level growth volatility, and through what channels do macroeconomic fluctuations in one country affect others?
Dynamics of Ranking in Competitive System
How do the dynamics of complex rank changes, often overlooked in competitive environments, hold the key to redefining success and challenging the established notions of tournament theory?
Laggards Matter: The Role of Low-performing Employees in Team Performance
In this project, we highlight the potential positive impact that low-performing employees can have on their colleagues in the organization.
Dual Technology Adoption
Digital transformation is not governed by isolated utility maximization, but by interdependent adoption decisions where one actor internalizes the costs and benefits of another’s technology use.